Cryptocurrencies Trading Strategy With Data Extraction Technique

Cryptocurrencies Data and Strategy

By Varun Divakar

There are many sources for getting data for the various cryptocurrencies available on the net. Sources such as Quandl, Coinmarketcap, Poloniex etc. Most of them have an API or .csv feature available with them. Using which you can fetch the data. Today, we will see how to fetch this data with a minute resolution using python.

In this blog, I have used the python library coinmarketcap to fetch the data from the website here

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I will also discuss how to save the data in a dataframe and csv. In the end, I have explained a simple strategy to trade the coins.

First, let us import the necessary libraries

python libraries

You can pip install all the libraries above:

pip install pandas

pip install datetime

pip install coinmarketcap

Next, we will fetch the data using the Market function from above. Then we will get the names of various cryptocurrencies listed and save them in a list called coins_list.

cryptocurrencies list

Let us just print this list to see all the names in it.

Cryptocurrencies print list

We have a total of 1121 currencies on this list.

total currencies list

Next, we will get the start time and save it. This is the time at which we will run this script.

run script

Next, we create two dictionaries with the names usd_price and usd_vol. These will be used to store the data of all the 1121 coins.

data dictionaries

Let us say that I want to get the data for the next 3 minutes, so let us save this time as a variable ‘t’.

variable ‘t’

After this, I will ping the coinmarketcap site every minute to fetch the data and then save it as a dataframe. I will keep doing this for the next ‘t’ minutes.

coinmarketcap data fetching

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After this, we create two dictionaries that will have the coin names as their keys and USD price and volume traded as their values. We add these values to the corresponding dictionaries usd_price and usd_vol with the time of fetching the data as their keys.

creating dictionaries

After this, we will calculate the time it has taken for the loop to run through all the currencies. This is important, as the runtime crosses the 1-minute mark, your next data fetch will happen at the next minute. So, if our data processing takes more time, we may need to drop some currencies which are not important or not tracked by us to make the data continuous.

print data command

I will explain this in detail now. If you run the code until this point the output would look like this.

code output

You can print the two dictionaries usd_vol and usd_price to see how the data looks like.

If we convert this data into a dataframe for a better view:

dataframe

Now, print the dataframe ‘a’

print the dataframe ‘a’

Now, observe the time stamp on the left, it has a time delta of 2 minutes, this because when we wrote the code, we specified that the data should be fetched whenever a minute is completed. As, we observed the time for the loop was more than a minute so the data was fetched at the beginning of the minute after that. Hence, we need to reduce the currencies to be traded.

Once this is done, we can save this data in an excel for further backtesting.

data for backtesting

Once you have your initial data, you can simply append the data fetched every minute to this.

Cryptocurrency Trading Strategy:

In markets like Bitcoin, which are highly volatile, it will be advisable to trade with the trend. But this does not mean that some well thought out and balanced mean-reverting strategies, such as the Long-Short portfolio, IndexArb ( create an index of your own) etc cannot be applied to bitcoin. To know about such strategies you can visit our newly launched course on Mean Reverting Strategies by Dr. E. P. Chan.

https://quantra.quantinsti.com/course/python-mean-reversion-strategies-ernest-chan

Here, I have used a simple ‘Follow the Herd’ strategy. The basic premise of this strategy is that when markets are highly volatile, it is profitable to follow the existing trend in the market, by observing the direction of the trades happening. The volume data that we saved in the dataframe ‘b’ earlier will help in filtering the real breakout from the fake breakout. We compare the volume traded in a candle with the mean of the past ‘n’ candles to check if the sudden spike in the price is associated with an increase in the volume. If so, then we assume this to be a real breakout and trade along with the direction of the movement. Conversely, if the volume traded is less than the average volume but the return is more than the standard deviation of past ‘n’ returns then we assume this to be a fake breakout and trade against the direction of the movement.

Now coming to the strategy. First, let us import the necessary libraries.

importing libraries

Next, we import the data that we stored earlier.

import the data

Let us chose a symbol from all the currencies to trade and save it as the variable ‘s’. ( Try some liquid currencies such as BTC, ETH etc, as the strategy is dependent on volume traded)

chose a symbol from all the currencies

Next, we create a dataframe ‘data’ that holds the price and volume information of ‘s’.

create a dataframe

Next, we decide on the time period to calculate the standard deviation of returns and average volume traded.

In this case, I assumed this window to be 30.

calculate the standard deviation of returns

To apply the strategy we need to know the returns, so let us first calculate that, and then compute the standard deviation of returns and average volume.

calculate the return on strategy

Next, we generate the column called ‘Signal’ and then we compute the signals where the return is more /less than the standard deviation observed and the volume is also higher than the average volume observed. According to our basic hypothesis, we assume this to be the real signal. That is the market is backing the move with volume.

generate the column called ‘Signal’

Next, we create reversal signals, by going against the market trend whenever a breakout is not associated with a corresponding increase in volume.

create reversal signals

After this we create a new dataframe to hold only the alternating signals and drop the rest of them. We do this to reduce the trading noise. In essence, we hold a position until a counter signal is generated. And once we have the new signals ready we calculate the returns of the strategy.

create a new dataframe

Here we have calculated returns differently from the way did earlier as this return is the return we get when we execute the position based on the signal we generated from the past data. This return will show you the market behaviour after the point of entry.

Finally, we will plot cumulative sum of the strategy returns to visualize the performance of the strategy.

plot cumulative sum

visualize the performance of the strategy

This is a simple strategy and not advisable to be used for trading without a proper risk management in place. In the above graph, we did manage to capture one breakout successfully. If you want to reduce the number of trades significantly we can try increasing the time period or adding a multiple to the standard deviation factor in the signal. I have tried the same strategy on ETH ( Ethereum) and the result is promising.

standard deviation factor

This strategy is just for demonstration to people who are new to algorithmic trading and should not be traded without a proper risk management in place.

Next Step

An exhaustive look at some of the best Cryptocurrency trading platforms used by traders operating in international markets in our post ‘Top 9 Cryptocurrency Trading Platforms‘.

Disclaimer: All investments and trading in the stock market involve risk. Any decisions to place trades in the financial markets, including trading in stock or options or other financial instruments is a personal decision that should only be made after thorough research, including a personal risk and financial assessment and the engagement of professional assistance to the extent you believe necessary. The trading strategies or related information mentioned in this article is for informational purposes only.

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